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Directions · GENERAL CONTROL POLICIES

Robotics

In one viewA robot nobody programs for each individual operation: it looks, understands the task and does it — assembling batteries today, carrying boxes tomorrow.

2026 is the first year humanoids run real production tasks rather than demo cells. The bottleneck is transferring skill between tasks.

Status
TypeDirections
Marker
Events in dossier8
Development chronology

Researched

2026-01-27

Figure Helix 02

About this eventOne neural system controls a humanoid's full body from pixels, including walking, balance and manipulation.

2026-04-29

Figure 03: 350 robots produced

About this eventFigure reported producing more than 350 third-generation robots and increasing throughput to one per hour.

2026-05-31

Cosmos 3: physical AI in one model

About this eventNVIDIA combined physical reasoning, world generation and action trajectories in one open system.

In progress

now

The Chinese price

About this eventUnitree offers the programmable G1 platform from $13.5K; a low hardware price does not yet mean ready-made autonomy.

barrier

Data hunger

About this eventThe bottleneck is not hardware but the hours of human teleoperation a policy learns from — hence the bet on simulation.

Planned

planned

Cost threshold

About this eventFor physical labour to become copyable, a humanoid must cost less than a year of wages. Not yet true.

planned

Hands, not legs

About this eventWalking is solved; grasping an arbitrary object with the right force is not. The hand decides what a robot can do.

Distant horizons

ahead

Labour as a copyable resource

About this eventA skill learned by one robot instantly distributed to all the others — something never possible with people.

Sources and research

Primary material behind this dossier: papers, lab publications and official reports.

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