The progress line of artificial intelligence

From the first neural nets to ASI

One line from the first neural networks to superintelligence. Milestones already passed sit on it; branches run off it — the directions being researched right now. Click a branch to dive inside, or a milestone to open it on its own.

PassedResearchingUnknown territory
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Deep learning2012Transformers2017Scaling laws2020Dialogue and human feedback2022Multimodality2024Reasoning2024Open weights2025Long context2026Cheap intelligence2026WE ARE HEREContinual learningGATEAI scientistGATEVerifiable reliabilityGATEAGIGENERAL INTELLIGENCEASISUPERINTELLIGENCE

Track the line as it moves

Once a week: which branches advanced, what unlocked, and what turned out to be overstated.