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Capabilities on the main line · CAPACITY LIMIT

Compute and power bottleneck

In one viewAI capability is constrained by more than algorithms. Chips, memory, data centres, electrical grids and cooling determine which models can be trained and how many runs the economy can sustain.

This does not imply that more gigawatts automatically produce AGI. The resource gate makes the opposite point: without efficiency and accessible infrastructure, even a strong architecture cannot scale into everyday use.

StatusUNSOLVED
TypeCapabilities on the main line
Marker?
Events in dossier4
Development chronology

In progress

now

Accelerator and memory scarcity

About this eventLeading accelerator and HBM production remains concentrated and cannot instantly follow demand.

now

Power as the project clock

About this eventConnecting a new data centre to the grid can take longer than building its computing halls.

Planned

planned

Efficiency over brute force

About this eventSparse computation, quantisation and specialised accelerators reduce the cost of one useful result.

Distant horizons

ahead

A sustainable compute loop

About this eventPower, grids and cooling scale with systems without externalising the cost into energy and water scarcity.

Sources and research

Primary material behind this dossier: papers, lab publications and official reports.

Capabilities on the main line